Sharp Betting.
Fully Transparent.
Every pick I take is publicly tracked - wins and losses, no exceptions. See the full record and decide for yourself.
Publicly tracked since 2019
Numbers Don't Lie
8,043+
Every result is publicly logged.
1,000+
Model inputs per matchup.
55.3%
↑Measured over verified picks.
+758.5
Units earned since 2019.
Where to get my picks
Start betting smarter
Discord Server
Live chat, market talk, and instant pick alerts with the community.
Telegram Bot
Fast one tap alerts and direct pick delivery to your phone.
Recent Plays
Latest Picks
| Date | League | Matchup | Pick | Odds | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14 | NCAAB | SC Upstate @ Longwood | Over 146.5 | -110 | Pending | - |
| Feb 14 | NCAAB | Miami @ NC State | Over 157.5 | -110 | Pending | - |
| Feb 14 | NCAAB | UMBC @ New Hampshire | Over 143 | -105 | Pending | - |
| Feb 14 | NCAAB | Colorado @ BYU | Under 164 | -110 | Pending | - |
| Feb 14 | NCAAB | Northwestern @ Nebraska | Over 144.5 | -115 | Pending | - |
| Matchup | Pick | Odds | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Upstate @ LongwoodNCAAB · Feb 14 | Over 146.5 | -110 | Pending | - |
Miami @ NC StateNCAAB · Feb 14 | Over 157.5 | -110 | Pending | - |
UMBC @ New HampshireNCAAB · Feb 14 | Over 143 | -105 | Pending | - |
Colorado @ BYUNCAAB · Feb 14 | Under 164 | -110 | Pending | - |
Northwestern @ NebraskaNCAAB · Feb 14 | Over 144.5 | -115 | Pending | - |
The Process
How I Bet
No gut feelings. No hot streaks. Every play is backed by mathematical models, closing line analysis, and strict bankroll discipline.
Expected Value (EV)
Each play must show positive EV. If the number is not there, I pass, even when the matchup looks good. No edge means no bet, regardless of hype.
Closing Line Value (CLV)
CLV is my core quality signal. Beating the close consistently matters more than short-term win-loss swings.
Quantitative Models
I run sport-specific models with injuries, rest, form, and market context, then update when new data lands.
Risk & Bankroll Management
Flat 1-unit staking, no chasing, no max plays. Drawdown rules cut exposure early and protect long-term capital.
Timing & Execution
I track line movement and liquidity windows to avoid bad prices and enter at the strongest number available.
Performance Review Loop
Each week I review edge quality, variance, and execution. Filters change only when the data justifies it.
Under the Hood
Built on data, not gut feelings
Every pick is backed by quantitative models - expected value calculations, closing line analysis, and probabilistic simulations running behind the scenes.
Model Output
Lakers -3.5 @ 1.91
Social Proof
What Subscribers Say
Real feedback from real bettors. No cherry-picked reviews - just honest takes from people who follow the picks.
Sharp Bettor
@sharpbettor21
“Been following Picks Office for 6 months now. The transparency is unmatched - every single pick tracked publicly. This is how it should be done.”
Jan 15, 2026
Data Fan
@sportsdatafan
“Finally someone who tracks CLV and not just win rate. The discipline and process here is what separates Picks Office from every other tipster out there.”
Jan 22, 2026
Betting Analyst
@bettinganalyst
“8,100+ picks all publicly tracked since 2019. No hidden records, no deleted losses. If you want to see what serious, transparent betting looks like - this is it.”
Feb 1, 2026
Michael
@michael_bets
“I was skeptical at first, but after 3 months following these picks, my bankroll is up 22%. The detailed writeups explain the thinking behind each bet, which has helped me understand line value better.”
Aug 12, 2023
Thomas
@thomas_sports
“Been betting for years but never with this level of consistency. What stands out most is how transparent the records are - both wins and losses are tracked and explained. That kind of honesty is rare.”
Mar 5, 2022
David
@david_analytics
“As someone who loves data, I appreciate how each pick comes with statistical backing. No gut feelings here, just solid analysis. My betting has become much more disciplined following this approach.”
Apr 18, 2022
Sharp Bettor
@sharpbettor21
“Been following Picks Office for 6 months now. The transparency is unmatched - every single pick tracked publicly. This is how it should be done.”
Jan 15, 2026
Data Fan
@sportsdatafan
“Finally someone who tracks CLV and not just win rate. The discipline and process here is what separates Picks Office from every other tipster out there.”
Jan 22, 2026
Betting Analyst
@bettinganalyst
“8,100+ picks all publicly tracked since 2019. No hidden records, no deleted losses. If you want to see what serious, transparent betting looks like - this is it.”
Feb 1, 2026
Michael
@michael_bets
“I was skeptical at first, but after 3 months following these picks, my bankroll is up 22%. The detailed writeups explain the thinking behind each bet, which has helped me understand line value better.”
Aug 12, 2023
Thomas
@thomas_sports
“Been betting for years but never with this level of consistency. What stands out most is how transparent the records are - both wins and losses are tracked and explained. That kind of honesty is rare.”
Mar 5, 2022
David
@david_analytics
“As someone who loves data, I appreciate how each pick comes with statistical backing. No gut feelings here, just solid analysis. My betting has become much more disciplined following this approach.”
Apr 18, 2022
Robert
@robert_nfl
“The NFL analysis has been spot-on all season. I have learned to identify line value and spot trends myself thanks to the detailed writeups. My Sunday betting is actually profitable for the first time ever.”
Nov 3, 2022
James
@james_bettor
“I have tried several handicappers over the years and most just push their wins and hide their losses. Here all picks are documented with honest analysis. The 8.2% ROI over 350+ picks speaks for itself.”
Jun 20, 2020
Daniel
@daniel_value
“Been a subscriber since day one. What makes these picks worth it is the educational aspect - I am not just blindly tailing but actually learning how to identify value. My overall betting skills have improved.”
Dec 1, 2019
Alex
@alex_sharp
“The CLV tracking completely changed how I evaluate tipsters. Seeing consistent closing line value over thousands of picks is the only real proof of skill. Picks Office delivers that proof publicly.”
Sep 14, 2025
Chris
@chris_bankroll
“What I respect most is the discipline. No chasing losses, no 10-unit plays after a bad day. Flat sizing, proper bankroll management, and a long-term mindset. Exactly what serious bettors need.”
May 8, 2021
Kevin
@kevin_data
“I've verified the record independently. Every pick, every line, every result - all trackable and public since 2019. There's no other service in this space that comes close to this level of accountability.”
Oct 22, 2025
Robert
@robert_nfl
“The NFL analysis has been spot-on all season. I have learned to identify line value and spot trends myself thanks to the detailed writeups. My Sunday betting is actually profitable for the first time ever.”
Nov 3, 2022
James
@james_bettor
“I have tried several handicappers over the years and most just push their wins and hide their losses. Here all picks are documented with honest analysis. The 8.2% ROI over 350+ picks speaks for itself.”
Jun 20, 2020
Daniel
@daniel_value
“Been a subscriber since day one. What makes these picks worth it is the educational aspect - I am not just blindly tailing but actually learning how to identify value. My overall betting skills have improved.”
Dec 1, 2019
Alex
@alex_sharp
“The CLV tracking completely changed how I evaluate tipsters. Seeing consistent closing line value over thousands of picks is the only real proof of skill. Picks Office delivers that proof publicly.”
Sep 14, 2025
Chris
@chris_bankroll
“What I respect most is the discipline. No chasing losses, no 10-unit plays after a bad day. Flat sizing, proper bankroll management, and a long-term mindset. Exactly what serious bettors need.”
May 8, 2021
Kevin
@kevin_data
“I've verified the record independently. Every pick, every line, every result - all trackable and public since 2019. There's no other service in this space that comes close to this level of accountability.”
Oct 22, 2025
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